Insights
11/20/12 11:09 AM – Fiscal Cliff Rally
U.S. stocks have rallied about 3% since late Friday morning when the President and Congressional leaders made optimistic statements about fixing the so-called "Fiscal Cliff." Stocks usually do well Thanksgiving week but often drop Monday following, according to Art...
11/20/12 10:53 AM – Israel / Hamas Conflict
A friend of mine who lived in Israel for a long time and still conducts business there told me today that he doesn't think the current conflict will last long because Hamas has neither the resources nor manpower to fight a long war. I think Israel has already pretty...
11/15/12 3:04 PM – Apple & Other Tech Leaders – Time to Buy Yet?
Apple, the darling of the tech world for several years, achieved near-deity status earlier this year and like Phaeton, who could not control his father's sun-chariot across the sky and fell to his death, Apple has taken a fall in the last few weeks, coming back down...
11/14/12 11:18 PM – Federal Spending vs. Revenue
Below is a very useful table of federal spending and revenue. For now, just look at 2012 – the bottom row. The main point is that we are borrowing 88% of the cost of running the government in 2012. The total cost of every government department, including defense is...
11/14/12 10:58 PM – Fiscal Cliff Negotiations
The WSJ reported this morning that President Obama has raised the tax increase he wants in renegotiating the "fiscal cliff." He has apparently gone from a proposed tax increase of $800 billion in last summer's negotations to a new figure of $1.6 trillion. The...
11/13/12 9:32 AM – Lower Stock Prices Across World Today
The US market is opening lower, flirting with its 200-day moving average, often the neighborhood in which a normal correction will reverse. But, stocks around the world are lower today. Asia was down as is Europe. Both regions seem to be declining over concern about...
11/9/12 4:35 PM – November Newsletter is Posted
This month's newsletter is posted. See Newsletters at this page top. I welcome any feedback.
11/7/12 11:07 AM – Political & Social Lessons from the Election
Republicans really have the demographics against them and if they have any chance at doing better in the Senate and White House in future years, they are swimming upstream and really need some radical changes. Think about it. Women are registered more often as...
11/7/12 10:30 PM – Today’s Early Sell-Off
Stocks are down nearly 2% in early trading today, which many people are taking as a sign of disappointment with the Obama victory. I don't think so for the following reasons: Economic numbers for Europe reported yesterday showed further slowing in the European economy...
11/6/12 1:45 PM – Electoral College Map – Also, When the Federal Debt was $0
I have pasted below a map from USA-Today showing the states and where they likely stand as of the last poll. Battleground states are in grey and they are mostly in the Eastern time zone, with most of the rest in the Midwest. Unfortunately, the results may be too close...
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