Insights

Gold is now off 15% from its recent highs. As you know, I have an automatic sell rule when a security drops 15% so we will be selling gold. However, I like gold for the long term and see buying it back again at lower levels. It can go another 10-15% lower as people...

After 8 days of a declining market, stocks bounced higher in Europe and the US. In Europe, there is little reason to bounce other than simply technical trading reasons. Italian bond yields have spiked higher again after a very brief respite below 6%. The more people...

European markets were down 2-3% today while US markets finished down 1.5%. Most likely the cause, and despite the pronouncements of the media, one can only be sure that the reporter will oversimplify the reason and perhaps get it totally wrong, the most likely main...

I think US stocks would move higher if Europe can be removed from center stage. The question is, "can it?" Can Europe take a bow and let the US economy have the spotlight for a while? The agreement was reached today between all 17 Eurozone countries and all but one EU...

The Dec newsletter is posted now. Look at the top of the home page for the Newsletter tab and click on the most current one. I always appreciate feedback.

One thing that no one is really talking about was mentioned on the CNBC web site today and that is the effect the collapse of the European Union into separate countries again would have on the stronger countries in the Eurozone and on banks. If countries like Greece,...

The stock market acts like it wants to go higher but yesterday's announcement that ratings agency S&P has put 15 European nations on negative credit watch chopped a nice rally in half. Of the 17 Eurozone nations only Cyprus and Greece escaped being included - Cyprus...

For about two years now we have had a strong pattern repeated several times in which the stock markets in the US and Europe go down on worries over Europe, go up on hopeful announcements of measures to deal with the crisis only to see European leaders under-deliver....

While the unemployment rate dropped to 8.6% from 9%, the participation rate, i.e. those of working age that are actually working dropped in this report to 62.3%, the lowest level since 1984. Put another way, the ratio of those working compared to those that are not...

The government reported today that the unemployment rate dropped this month from 9% to 8.6%. That's a huge drop for one month so it may be revised upward later. What many people don't realize is that the reported unemployment rate includes a lot of adjustments for...