Insights
Friday, August 26, 2011 4:37 PM – Bipolar Stock Market Sticks Around
Someone I love is bi-polar. It serves as a real challenge for them, even on medication. The stock market has been strongly bi-polar but its cycles are extremely short, lasting only hours. That makes life very interesting for those of us who manage people's retirement...
Friday, August 26, 2011 12:30 PM – Welcome to Japan, Boys!
The revised GDP # for 2Q/2011 was released today as 1.0% growth. That was lower than expectations of 1.4%. That follows 1Q GDP of 0.4%. Welcome to Japan, boys - 1% or less interest rates, a large and rapidly growing national debt, a poor stock market and awfully slow...
Wednesday, August 24, 2011 4:10PM – Excellent Day for Stocks, Gold Down, Durable Goods OK
Stocks were up strongly in the US and Europe. The S&P 500 finished up 1.3%. Europe was up more, 1.5%- 2.6%. Asia closed earlier and was down. The only gripe with the rally today was that volume was fairly low. Remember too that 3 weeks ago we had a sharp 3-day rally...
Tuesday, August 23, 2011 4:55 PM – Market Up 3% – 5%
Here are the #s: S&P 500 3.43% DJIA 3% Nasdaq 4.3% Sml Stks 4.9% Gold -3.75% I don't trust this rally in stocks today. It will have to prove itself by continuing significantly higher. A sharp one-day 5% rally is not uncommon in a bear market. Usually, it is a small...
Tuesday, August 23, 2011 12:08 PM – Good Market Day So Far
Asian markets were up nicely this morning partly on news that Chinese manufacturing was basically flat, which is an improvement. European markets followed suit but gave back a good bit of their gains. There were actually a couple of European economic reports that were...
Monday, August 22, 2011 4:38 PM – Rally Fizzles, August-October is Historically Dangerous
It was a disappointing day for stocks, starting up strongly and then selling it off all day until stocks finished pretty much where they started. Europe was up 2%+ when US markets opened and then sold off most of their rally, following the US lead. Germany finished in...
Friday, August 19, 2011 5:45 PM – Stocks Near Low for 2011, Banks & Family Problems
Stocks are back at roughly the lowest closing price of 2011. S&P 500 -1.5% Dow -1.57%, Nasdaq -1.6% Small Stocks –1.6% European & Asian Stocks -1%-2%+ Gold +1.25 Corp. Bonds -0.1% Two main worries: US economy It is slowing down significantly which means analyst's...
Thursday, August 17, 2011 4:44 PM – Retesting the Market Lows
As I wrote earlier, volatility has earned after a brief break the last few days. Here at the #s: S&P 500 -4.5% Dow -3.7%, Nasdaq -5.2% Small Stocks --5.6% European & Asian Stocks -4%-5%+ Gold +1.9& Corp. Bonds +0.1% (Click Chart to Enlarge) I wrote quite a bit last...
Thursday, August 18, 2011 8:50 AM – Inflation and Jobs #s
The Consumer Price Index 0.5% for July and 3.6% for the last 12 months. Of course, food and energy were up most and Core CPI was 0.2%. Oil prices have come down somewhat in August but food has continued higher. Jobless claims came in at 407,000 which was higher than...
Thursday, August 18, 2011 8:45 AM – Volatility is Back
Stocks are set to open down 2% today. In Europe bank selling has spilled over into other stocks and stock indexes are down as much 3.6%. Of course, gold is up and bonds should be too. The European financial crisis is back in the headlines after news that European...
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